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Brad Davidson preview Tamworth Dec 23

 Oct 14 2019

Best bet

Race 5 No.7 Dissenter $2.30 (rated $2.20, confidence 7/10)

*Playing tote hoping for a touch better

I like the way Dissenter won on debut and she hit the line with purpose, clocking the third quickest last 200m split on the day in the process. Her overall time and late splits were quicker than Bulletson on the day as well.

Next best

Race 1 no.3 Pass The Card $4.80 (rated $4, confidence 6/10)

It’s hard to go past Pass The Card and I loved the way he found the line first-up and then he ran off the track at Gunnedah before spelling. He has trialled well with the blinkers on leading into his return.

Other play

Race 3 no.1 Galapagos $3.50 (rated $3.40, confidence 6/10)

Scratched from a Highway on Saturday for this. I like the way he trialled leading in and he gets the blinkers on here. His form around Kolding and Quackerjack last prep looks very strong for this. Expecting him to shorten from $4.

 

Long game strategy (2 units)

Race 1 no.3 Pass The Card 0.5 unit win at $4.80

Race 3 no.1 Galapagos 0.5 unit win tote

Race 5 no.7 Dissenter 1 unit win tote

Results: -11 units, (-15.9%POT, 69 units outlayed)

 

Normal strategy (60 units)

Race 1 no.3 Pass The Card 15 unit win at $4.80

Race 3 no.1 Galapagos 15 unit win tote

Race 5 no.7 Dissenter 30 unit win tote

Results: -949 units (-13% POT, 7216 units outlayed)



- Brad Davidson preview Tamworth Dec 23

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