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Brad Davidson preview Hawkesbury Dec 15

BRAD DAVIDSON PREVIEW HAWKESBURY DEC 15 Nov 12 2019

Best bet

Race 4 no.10 Kennebec $3.70 (rated $3.20, confidence 8/10)

Loved the first-up run. Went back closed off very strongly. Race 1.7s quicker 1000m mdn 2yo on day. Winner close second to Exceed The Starts since. Box seats, htb.

Next best

Race 1 no.5 Dunatun $4 (rated $3.60, 7/10) * Also playing Zeppelin

Better effort last start and the blinkers go on here and he returns to his favourite track. I think Brix looks a false fav. Zeppelin looks the danger but expecting Dunatun to be too strong late.

 

Long game strategy (4 units)

Race 1 no.5 Dunatun 1 unit win at $4.20

Race 1 no.1 Zeppelin 0.5 unit win at $4.20

Race 4 no.10 Kennebec 2 unit win at $3.70

Race 5 no.3 Secretly 0.5 unit win at $3.20

Results: -7.65 units (-14%POT, 52.6 units outlayed)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

Normal strategy (110 units)

Race 1 no.5 Dunatun 30 unit at $4

Race 1 no.1 Zeppelin 15 unit win at $4.20

Race 4 no.10 Kennebec 50 unit win at $3.90

Race 5 no.3 Secretly 15 unit win at $3.20

Results: -769 UNITS (-11%POT, 6651 units)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

 



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